The Raja Saab’s North America breakeven is valued at $7.4 million. From a business perspective, this is a much bigger range compared to other areas. Since it was a pan-India film, the trade expected it to get numbers from all languages.

But the film did not generate any craze in other languages. Even in Telugu, it failed to create big hype in the USA like Prabha’s other films, Salaar and Kalki. The Raja Saab’s North America opening day gross is less than $2 million, which is an utter disappointment considering the high breakeven value.

Moreover, first-day walk-ins are very low, which is a big concern for the long run. At this trend, even reaching half of the breakeven figure looks very tough. The film is heading towards a big loss venture in this region.

The Raja Saab sees big hurdles in Nizam, as the bookings did not open till the last minute, and premieres were also screened in only a few screens due to ticket hikes and the G.O. from the government coming late.

But the best thing is, despite facing such problems, the film has managed to open with more than 20 Cr gross, which is an excellent number for the talk it received. According to the trade circles, the first day reported gross is 22 Cr for the film, and it could have gone near 30 Cr if the premieres had happened as per the planned ticket hikes.

Prabhas’ The Raja Saab is poised for a strong weekend at the box office.

If we compare with other areas, The Raja Saab carries excellent advances in Nizam for today, the second day. The film is set for a good weekend at the box office. For breakeven, the film needs to collect more than 80 Cr gross in Nizam, and on the 1st day, it recovers more than 1/4th of breakeven, which is superb.

Prabhas has been the care of address for many box office records in recent years, and the same was expected from his latest film, The Raja Saab, which falls below Saaho and Adipurush in day 1 collections.

Baahubali 2 opened with more than ₹200 crore gross and became an all-time record opener in Indian cinema, a record that was later broken by RRR. For Prabhas, after Baahubali 2, Kalki 2898 AD is his second-biggest opener with over ₹170 crore gross, followed by Salaar at around ₹155 crore gross.

Prabhas Fails to Beat His Own Films’ Records with The Raja Saab Openings

Initial expectations for The Raja Saab were in the range of ₹130–140 crore on Day 1. However, the film has shockingly opened lower collections than Adipurush (₹120 crore+) and Saaho (₹115 crore+).

The main reason for this lower opening is the weak performance in the Hindi market. All the above films recorded strong Hindi openings, whereas The Raja Saab managed only single-digit collections in Hindi, similar to Radhe Shyam. As a result, The Raja Saab’s Day 1 collections are expected to be around ₹100 crore, which is higher than Radhe Shyam but lower than all of Prabhas’s films since Baahubali 2.

The film’s breakeven point is set at more than ₹400 crore gross. To reach this target, The Raja Saab will need much stronger collections on Day 2 and Day 3.

The Raja Saab missed out on a major opportunity by not having premiere shows in Telangana, which reportedly cost the film nearly ₹10 crore in gross collections on day 1. The film has opened with single-digit numbers in the Hindi market, and even when collections from all other non-Telugu languages are combined, the opening remains in single digits. 

These factors are the main reasons why The Raja Saab could not achieve opening numbers on the scale of Salaar or Kalki. However, the film has still managed a decent opening in the Telugu market.

The Raja Saab registers decent openings at the box office on its first day

From the Telugu states, the opening day gross is expected to be in the range of ₹57–60 crore. Collections from other southern states, Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu combined are expected to be around ₹10 crore. North India is likely to contribute approximately ₹6–7 crore, while overseas collections are estimated to open at around ₹27 crore.

With all these figures combined, The Raja Saab’s Day 1 worldwide gross collections are estimated to be around ₹100 crore.

We will have to wait until tomorrow for the final numbers to see whether the film crosses the ₹100 crore mark or falls short by a small margin. At this point, a triple-digit opening seems possible but not guaranteed.

If the Nizam premieres had gone ahead as planned, the film would have had a sure-shot triple-digit opening. Now, all eyes are on the final reported figures.